TY - JOUR
T1 - Government debt control
T2 - Optimal currency portfolio and payments
AU - Huamán-Aguilar, Ricardo
AU - Cadenillas, Abel
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2015 INFORMS.
PY - 2015/9/1
Y1 - 2015/9/1
N2 - Motivated by empirical facts, we develop a theoretical model for optimal currency government debt portfolio and debt payments, which allows both government debt aversion and jumps in the exchange rates. We obtain first a realistic stochastic differential equation for public debt and then solve explicitly the optimal currency debt problem. We show that higher debt aversion and jumps in the exchange rates lead to a lower proportion of optimal debt in foreign currencies. Furthermore, we show that for a government with extreme debt aversion it is optimal not to issue debt in foreign currencies. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first theoretical model that provides a rigorous explanation of why developing countries have reduced consistently their proportion of foreign debt in their debt portfolios.
AB - Motivated by empirical facts, we develop a theoretical model for optimal currency government debt portfolio and debt payments, which allows both government debt aversion and jumps in the exchange rates. We obtain first a realistic stochastic differential equation for public debt and then solve explicitly the optimal currency debt problem. We show that higher debt aversion and jumps in the exchange rates lead to a lower proportion of optimal debt in foreign currencies. Furthermore, we show that for a government with extreme debt aversion it is optimal not to issue debt in foreign currencies. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first theoretical model that provides a rigorous explanation of why developing countries have reduced consistently their proportion of foreign debt in their debt portfolios.
KW - Debt control
KW - Optimal currency debt portfolio
KW - Optimal debt payments
KW - Stochastic control
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84947938539&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1287/opre.2015.1412
DO - 10.1287/opre.2015.1412
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84947938539
SN - 0030-364X
VL - 63
SP - 1044
EP - 1057
JO - Operations Research
JF - Operations Research
IS - 5
ER -