¿Es posible obtener estimaciones confiables del porcentaje de anemia y retraso en el crecimiento en niños menores de cinco años en los distritos más pobres del Perú?

Anna Sikov, José Javier Cerda Hernández, Marcial Eduardo Haro Abanto

Producción científica: Contribución a una revistaArtículorevisión exhaustiva

Resumen

In this article we describe and apply the Fay-Herriot model with spatially correlated random area effects (Pratesi, M., & Salvati, N. (2008)), in order to predict the prevalence of anemia and childhood stunting in Peruvian districts, based on the data from the Demographic and Family Health Survey of the year 2019, which collects data about anemia and childhood stunting for children under the age of 12 years, and the National Census carried out in 2017. Our main objective is to produce reliable predictions for the districts, where sample sizes are too small to provide good direct estimates, and for the districts, which were not included in the sample. The basic Fay-Herriot model (Fay & Herriot, 1979) tackles this problem by incorporating auxiliary information, which is generally available from administrative or census records. The Fay-Herriot model with spatially correlated random area effects, in addition to auxiliary information, incorporates geographic information about the areas, such as latitude and longitude. This permits modeling spatial autocorrelations, which are not unusual in socioeconomic and health surveys. To evaluate the mean square error of the above-mentioned predictors, we use the parametric bootstrap procedure, developed in Molina et al. (2009).

Título traducido de la contribuciónIs it possible to obtain reliable estimates for the prevalence of anemia and childhood stunting among children under 5 in the poorest districts in Peru?
Idioma originalEspañol
Páginas (desde-hasta)171-202
Número de páginas32
PublicaciónApuntes
Volumen50
N.º95
DOI
EstadoPublicada - 30 set. 2023
Publicado de forma externa

Palabras clave

  • Direct estimate
  • Fay-Herriot model
  • random area effects
  • spatial autocorrelation

Huella

Profundice en los temas de investigación de '¿Es posible obtener estimaciones confiables del porcentaje de anemia y retraso en el crecimiento en niños menores de cinco años en los distritos más pobres del Perú?'. En conjunto forman una huella única.

Citar esto