Determining factors in the unforeseeable uncertainty management in innovation projects

Rosária De Fátima Segger Macri Russo, Roberto Sbragia, Abraham Sin Oih Yu

Producción científica: Capítulo del libro/informe/acta de congresoContribución a la conferenciarevisión exhaustiva

3 Citas (Scopus)

Resumen

The more innovative a project is, the greater the probability of occurrence of unforeseeable uncertainties. This kind of uncertainty would be realized through the identification of early signs of a change, however for the recognition of these signs is necessary to sensemaking. Thus, this study aims to recognize relevant factors that can block out or facilitate the management of unforeseeable uncertainties. A field survey was conducted based on a questionnaire about the projects that could be considered innovative. From the sample intentionally chosen, only 16 projects met the requirements of the study and they were considered units of analysis. Subsequently, for each project an in-depth interview was applied. The participant was requested to identify at least two unforeseen events, as representative of unforeseeable uncertainties, thus we have obtained 35 unforeseen events, considered unit of analysis embedded. Data analysis was initially qualitative; in addition, a statistical analysis was made through non-parametric tests. The results pointed out determinant block factors, as biases. The results of this analysis suggest incorporating the diagnosis of unforeseeable uncertainty, seeking areas of uncertainty for the project, envisioning as the more appropriate management methodology for each level of uncertainty.

Idioma originalInglés
Título de la publicación alojada2013 Proceedings of PICMET 2013
Subtítulo de la publicación alojadaTechnology Management in the IT-Driven Services
Páginas623-634
Número de páginas12
EstadoPublicada - 2013
Publicado de forma externa
Evento2013 Portland International Conference on Management of Engineering and Technology, PICMET 2013 - San Jose, CA, Estados Unidos
Duración: 28 jul. 20131 ago. 2013

Serie de la publicación

Nombre2013 Proceedings of PICMET 2013: Technology Management in the IT-Driven Services

Conferencia

Conferencia2013 Portland International Conference on Management of Engineering and Technology, PICMET 2013
País/TerritorioEstados Unidos
CiudadSan Jose, CA
Período28/07/131/08/13

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