TY - GEN
T1 - A black-scholes approach to satisfying the demand in a failure-prone manufacturing system
AU - Chavez-Fuentes, Jorge R.
AU - González, Oscar R.
AU - Steven Gray, W.
PY - 2007
Y1 - 2007
N2 - The goal of this paper is to use a financial model and a hedging strategy in a systems application. In particular, the classical Black-Scholes model, which was developed in 1973 to find the fair price of a financial contract, is adapted to satisfy an uncertain demand in a manufacturing system when one of two production machines is unreliable. This financial model together with a hedging strategy are used to develop a closed formula for the production strategies of each machine. The strategy guarantees that the uncertain demand will be met in probability at the final time of the production process. It is assumed that the production efficiency of the unreliable machine can be modeled as a continuous-time stochastic process. Two simple examples illustrate the result.
AB - The goal of this paper is to use a financial model and a hedging strategy in a systems application. In particular, the classical Black-Scholes model, which was developed in 1973 to find the fair price of a financial contract, is adapted to satisfy an uncertain demand in a manufacturing system when one of two production machines is unreliable. This financial model together with a hedging strategy are used to develop a closed formula for the production strategies of each machine. The strategy guarantees that the uncertain demand will be met in probability at the final time of the production process. It is assumed that the production efficiency of the unreliable machine can be modeled as a continuous-time stochastic process. Two simple examples illustrate the result.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=34548139806&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1109/SSST.2007.352338
DO - 10.1109/SSST.2007.352338
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:34548139806
SN - 1424411262
SN - 9781424411269
T3 - Proceedings of the Annual Southeastern Symposium on System Theory
SP - 154
EP - 158
BT - Proceedings of the Thirty-Ninth Southeastern Symposium on System Theory, SSST
T2 - 2007 39th Southeastern Symposium on System Theory, SSST
Y2 - 4 March 2007 through 6 March 2007
ER -