Government debt control: Optimal currency portfolio and payments

Ricardo Huamán-Aguilar, Abel Cadenillas

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

10 Scopus citations

Abstract

Motivated by empirical facts, we develop a theoretical model for optimal currency government debt portfolio and debt payments, which allows both government debt aversion and jumps in the exchange rates. We obtain first a realistic stochastic differential equation for public debt and then solve explicitly the optimal currency debt problem. We show that higher debt aversion and jumps in the exchange rates lead to a lower proportion of optimal debt in foreign currencies. Furthermore, we show that for a government with extreme debt aversion it is optimal not to issue debt in foreign currencies. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first theoretical model that provides a rigorous explanation of why developing countries have reduced consistently their proportion of foreign debt in their debt portfolios.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1044-1057
Number of pages14
JournalOperations Research
Volume63
Issue number5
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 Sep 2015
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Debt control
  • Optimal currency debt portfolio
  • Optimal debt payments
  • Stochastic control

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