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¿Por qué cambian los precios?
(Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Departamento Académico de Ciencias de la Gestión, 2023-08)
In a previous Academic Note, I dealt with the key indicator of the economy, the measure of growth that is the Gross Domestic Product. There I warned that the presentation was incomplete because it was necessary to deal with the effect of price variations (inflation) in year-on-year comparisons, and to isolate the effect of real growth from nominal growth, which is the mirage that money creates. This task is addressed in this installment. It explains how money is created in today's world, the role of banks, how the current world monetary order was formed. It concludes with a review of the indicators used to measure the variation in GDP prices as well as consumer goods and services.
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Ensayo sobre la agricultura peruana
(Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Departamento de Economía, 1972-12)
A fin de contribuir con el estudio sobre la devaluación peruana de 1967, realiza un análisis del comercio exterior y la agricultura. El estudio revisa el crecimiento de la producción, comercio de azúcar, algodón, arroz, trigo y carne en el siglo veinte; la interrelación entre precios, producción, consumo e inflación y, la importancia de los mercados externos e internos en la selección de cultivos sembrados. To contribute to the study of the 1967 currency devaluation in Peru, this paper reviews the country’s foreign trade and agricultural sector, with an emphasis on output growth, sugar, cotton, rice, wheat and beef trade in the 20th century, the relationship between prices, output, consumer demand and inflation, and finally the importance of external and internal markets in the election of crops.
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Déficit fiscal, inflación, crecimiento y la política de gasto público, Perú: 1968 1988
(Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Departamento de Economía, 1989-07)
En qué medida la actividad del gobierno en el Perú se ha traducido o no en un factor de estabilidad económica y de promoción del crecimiento es un tema importante que merece ser estudiado. El presente trabajo pretende dar respuesta (aunque en forma parcial) a esta cuestión. Para ello analiza dos relaciones, déficit fiscal e inflación, y gastos públicos y crecimiento económico. To what extent the Peruvian government’s policies have created or not economic stability and promoted growth is certainly an issue that deserves further analysis. This paper aims at providing a response, albeit a partial one, to this issue by looking into two relationships; namely, between the fiscal deficit and inflation, and government expenditure and economic growth.
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Rentabilidad, inflación y devaluación : aplicación a los fondos mutuos bbva cash soles y dólares Perú (2016-2019)
(Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Departamento Académico de Ciencias de la Gestión, 2020-01-25)
In the last 3 years, mutual funds for securities investment represented an alternative for more than 400 thousand participants, whose preferences were mainly concentrated in BBVA Cash Soles and Dollars funds. The main cause of this concentration is in the conservative profile of the Peruvian investor, which requires evaluating the profitability of the funds mentioned in comparison with that offered by bank term deposits. For this, the present note takes into account periodic inflation and exchange devaluation for the determination of real profitability and equivalent profitability in soles respectively. Subsequently, the returns obtained are compared and finally, the conclusions are presented.
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Hiperinflación y política económica en el Perú: una interpretación
(Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Departamento de Economía, 1989-07)
Intenta analizar los efectos de la política económica vigente sobre al comportamiento actual de la economía peruana a través de un modelo maeroeconómico de corto plazo con dos bienes (transable y no transable) y dos activas (dinero nacional y dinero extranjero). Sólo con una palabra puede describirse este comportamiento: hiperinflación. An attempt to review the impact of present economic policy on the ongoing behavior of Peru’s economy using a short term macroeconomic model for two goods (tradable and non tradable) and two assets (local currency and foreign currency). This behavior can be described in one word: hyperinflation.
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Elementos para un programa de estabilización
(Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú. Departamento de Economía, 1989-07)
El objeto de este trabajo es el de modelar comportamientos de un limitado grupo de variables, relevantes en una aproximación agregada a un fenómeno de extremo deterioro en la evolución de precios y cantidades en el corto plazo. Esto se hace con el objeto de inferir lineamientos básicos para el diseño de un programa de estabilización: este trabajo no pretende construir un modelo de programación financiera desagregado y detallado para la elaboración de políticas macro económicas y sectoriales específicas. The purpose of this paper is to model the behavior of a limited number of variables of relevance to provide an aggregate approach to the extreme degradation of prices and quantities in the short term. The purpose of this analysis is to draw up basic guidelines for designing a stabilization program, though not to build a broken down and detailed financial programming model to design specific macroeconomic and sector policies.
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